Ka hlađenju ili grejanju: da li je Milanković pogrešio?

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.main##

Miodrag Measrović

Apstrakt

U vreme kada se u Beogradu, na jugu Evrope, završava 40. jubilarni međunarodni kongres o KGH, u Kopenhagenu, na njenom severu, počinje 15. međunarodna konferencija UN o klimatskim promenama, od koje se očekuje da usmeri svet kako da, nakon isteka Protokola iz Kjota, nastavi da spasava planetu od globalnog zagrevanja koje potencijalno dovodi do nepovratne promene klime i time ugrožava opstanak na njoj. Činjenica da očekivane dugoročne promene temperature na Zemlji imaju samo pozitivni gradijent, dovodi do dileme nije li pogrešio genijalni tvorac Teorije ledenih doba, Srbin Milutin Milanković, rođen tačno pre 130 godina, a umro pre 51 godinu. Rad se bavi razjašnjavanjem ove dileme i pitanjima iz oblasti KGH u vezi sa tim.

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.details##

Kako citirati
MEASROVIĆ, Miodrag. Ka hlađenju ili grejanju: da li je Milanković pogrešio?. Zbornik Međunarodnog kongresa o KGH, [S.l.], v. 40, n. 1, p. 13-23, nov. 2019. Dostupno na: <https://izdanja.smeits.rs/index.php/kghk/article/view/5815>. Datum pristupa: 19 nov. 2019
Sekcija
Uvodna predavanja

Reference

[1] Archer, D., The Long Thaw: How Humans Are Changing the Next 100,000 Years of Earth’s Climate, Princeton University Press, 2009, p. 196, ISBN 9780691136547.
[2] Cox, J. D., Climate Crash: Abrupt Climate Change and What It Means for Our Future, Joseph Henry Press, Washington DC, 2005, pp. 150–155. ISBN 0309093120.
[3] Hegerl, G. C., F. W. Zwiers et al, Understanding and Attributing Climate Change, AR4 WG1, Chapter 9, pp. 663–745, International Panel on Climate Change, New York, 2007.
[4] Mesarović, M., Skinite kravate, planeta se zagreva, uvodna predavanja, zbornik radova za 39. međunarodni kongres o grejanju, hlađenju i klimatizaciji, SMEITS, Beograd, 2008., pp. 20–28.
[5] Bond, G. et al., A Pervasive Millennial-Scale Cycle in North Atlantic Holocene and Glacial Climates, Science 278 (5341) 1997, pp. 1257–1266.
[6] Viau, A. et al., Widespread evidence of 1,500 year climate variability in North America during the past 14000 years, Geology 30 (5), 2002, pp. 455–458.
[7] Milanković, M., Theorie Mathematique des Phenomenes Thermiques Produits par la Radiation Solair, Gauthier-Villars, Paris, 1920.
[8] Milanković, M., Mathematische Klimalehre und Astronomische Theorie der Klimaschwankungen - Handbuch der Klimalogie, Band 1, Teil A, Borntrager Berlin, 1930.
[9] Mesarović, M., Electricity Generation and Global Warming: Famous Discoveries of Nikola Tesla and Milutin Milanković, Proceedings of the Sixth International Symposium “Nikola Tesla”, Academic Mind, Belgrade, 2006, pp. 271– 274, ISBN 86-7466-264-1.
[10] Milanković, M., Kanon der Erdbestrahlungen und seine Anwendung auf das Eiszeitenproblem, Belgrade, 1941.
[11] Imbrie, J., J. Z. Imbrie, Modeling the Climatic Response to Orbital Variations, Science 207, 1980, pp. 943–953.
[12] Imbrie, J., K. P. Imbrie, Ice Ages, Enslow Publishers, Hillside, New Jersey, 1979.
[13] Berger, A., M. F. Loutre, Climate: An Exceptionally Long Interglacial Ahead?, Science 297 (5585), 2002, pp. 1287–1288.
[14] Rial, J. A., Pacemaking the Ice Ages by Frequency Modulation of Earth’s Orbital Eccentricity, Science, vol. 285, p. 564, 23 July 1999.
[15] Peterson, T. C. et al, The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus, Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, vol. 89, 2008, pp. 1325– 1337.
[16] Mesarović, M., HVAC&R Technologies and Energy Supplies at the Crossroads, CD Proceedings of the 36th International HVAC&R Congress, SMEITS, Belgrade 2005, Introductory Papers, pp. 1–23.