Gledajući u budućnost i uticaje klimatskih promena na energetsku efikasnost grčkih stambenih zgrada
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Feb 18, 2026
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Elena G. Dascalaki
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3750-8126
Constantinos A. Balaras
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4323-3651
Kalliopi G. Droutsa
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8735-1756
Simon Kontoyiannidis
Panagionis Mourikis
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3750-8126
Constantinos A. Balaras
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4323-3651
Kalliopi G. Droutsa
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8735-1756
Simon Kontoyiannidis
Panagionis Mourikis
Apstrakt
Ovaj rad istražuje moguće uticaje klimatskih promena i očekivane promene spoljašnjih vremenskih uslova na energetsku efikasnost tipičnih grčkih stambenih zgrada i scenarije renoviranja. Procena uzima u obzir prosečne klimatske projekcije za dva buduća perioda – jedan za blisku, a drugi za dalju budućnost – prateći dva reprezentativna koncentraciona puta (RCP). Osnovni scenario (RCP8.5) predstavlja najviši nivo emisije gasova sa efektom staklene bašte, dok scenario srednje stabilizacije (RCP4.5) podrazumeva uvođenje konzervativnih politika za ublažavanje emisija. Podaci o budućoj klimi generisani su za 62 grada širom Grčke. Rad se fokusira na arhetipove grčkih stambenih zgrada prema evropskoj tipologiji TABULA za jednoporodične i višeporodične objekte. Dostupni podaci koriste se za procenu potreba za grejanjem i hlađenjem, potrošnje energije i emisija. Ispituju se i procenjuju različiti scenariji renoviranja zgrada – od omotača objekta do sistema za KGH.
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DASCALAKI, Elena G. et al.
Gledajući u budućnost i uticaje klimatskih promena na energetsku efikasnost grčkih stambenih zgrada.
Zbornik Međunarodnog kongresa i izložbe o KGH, [S.l.], v. 56, n. 1, p. 287-304, feb. 2026.
Dostupno na: <https://izdanja.smeits.rs/index.php/kghk/article/view/8295>. Datum pristupa: 12 mar. 2026
Broj časopisa
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nZEB gradnja za održivu budućnost – zahtevi i tehnologije
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[12] Sandberg, N.H., Sartori, I., Heidrich, O., Dawson, R., Dascalaki, E., Dimitriou, S., Vimmr, T., Filippidou, F., Stegnar, G., Šijanec Zavrl, M. and H. Brattebø, Dynamic building stock model-ing: Application to 11 European countries to support the energy efficiency and retrofit ambitions of the EU. Energy & Buildings 132: 26-38, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/ j.enbuild.2016.05.100
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[17] Droutsa, K.G., Kontoyiannidis, S., Balaras, C.A., Argiriou, A.A., Dascalaki, E.G., Varotsos, K.V. and C. Giannakopoulos, Climate Change Scenarios and Their Implications on the Energy Performance of Hellenic Non-Residential Buildings. Sustainability, 13: 13005, 2021. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132313005
[18] Droutsa, K.G., Energy and environmental footprint of tertiary sector buildings in Greece and study of their energy renovation in combination with the impact of climate change. PhD Disserta-tion, 1438 p., Department of Physics, University of Patras, 2024. http://hdl.handle.net/10442/hedi/58260
[19] Dascalaki, E.G., Droutsa, K.G., Balaras, C.A. and S. Kontoyiannidis, Building typologies as a tool for assessing the energy performance of residential buildings—a case study for the Hellenic building stock, Energy and Buildings 43:3400-3409, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.enbuild.2011.09.002
[20] Loga, T., Stein, B. and N. Diefenbach, TABULA building typologies in 20 European countries—Making energy-related features of residential building stocks comparable, Energy and Buildings 132:4-12, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2016.06.094
[21] Dascalaki, E.G., Argiropoulou, P.A., Balaras, C.A., Droutsa, K.G. and S. Kontoyiannidis, Benchmarks for Embodied and Operational Energy Assessment of Hellenic Single-Family Hous-es, Energies 13: 4384, 2020. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13174384
[22] Droutsa, K.G., Kontoyiannidis, S., Dascalaki, E.G. and C.A. Balaras, Mapping the Energy Per-formance of Hellenic Residential Buildings from EPC (energy performance certificate) Data, Ener-gy 98: 284–295, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.12.137
[23] Dascalaki, E.G., Balaras, C.A., Kontoyiannidis, S. and K.G. Droutsa, Modeling Energy Refur-bishment Scenarios for the Hellenic Residential Building Stock Towards the 2020 & 2030 Targets, Energy and Buildings 132: 74–90, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2016.06.003
[24] Balaras, C.A., Dascalaki, E.G., Droutsa, K.G., and S. Kontoyiannidis, Empirical Assessment of Calculated and Actual Heating Energy Use in Hellenic Residential Buildings, Applied Energy 164: 115–132, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.11.027
[25] Balaras, C.A., Dascalaki, E.G., Patsioti, M., Droutsa, K.G., Kontoyiannidis, S. and T. Cholewa, Carbon and Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Electricity Consumption in European Union Build-ings, Buildings 2024, 14, 71, 2024. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings14010071
[26] Balaras, C.A., Dascalaki, E.G., Psarra, I. and T. Cholewa, Primary Energy Factors for Electrici-ty Production in Europe, Energies 16(1): 93, 2023. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16010093
[2] *** EC DG Energy, Nearly-zero energy and zero-emission buildings, Directorate-General for En-ergy, European Commission, Brussels. https://energy.ec.europa.eu/topics/energy-efficiency/energy-performance-buildings/nearly-zero-energy-and-zero-emission-buildings_en
[3] *** EEA, Greenhouse gas emissions from energy use in buildings in Europe. European Envi-ronment Agency, Brussels, 2024. https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/indicators/greenhouse-gas-emissions-from-energy
[4] *** IPCC, Climate Change 2023: AR6 Synthesis Report. Sixth Assessment Report, Intergovern-mental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/sixth-assessment-report-cycle/
[5] WM*** O confirms 2024 as warmest year on record at about 1.55°C above pre-industrial level, Press release, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, January 10, 2025. https://wmo.int/ news/media-centre/wmo-confirms-2024-warmest-year-record-about-155degc-above-pre-industrial-level
[6] *** NOAA, News - 2024 was the world’s warmest year on record, National Oceanic and Atmos-pheric Administration, Washington, DC, 2025. https://www.noaa.gov/news/2024-was-worlds-warmest-year-on-record
[7] Hansen, J., Nazarenko, L., Ruedy, R., Sato, M., Willis, J., Del Genio, A., Koch, D., Lacis, A., Lo, K., Menon, S., Novakov, T., Perlwitz, J., Russell, G., Schmidt, G.A. and N. Tausnev, Earth’s energy imbalance: Confirmation and implications. J. Science. 308:1431-1435, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1110252
[8] Wenz, L., Levermann, A. and M. Auffhammer, North–south polarization of European electricity consumption under future warming, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 114(38): E7910–E7918, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1704339114
[9] van Vuuren, D.P., Edmonds, J., Kainuma, M. et al., The representative concentration pathways: an overview, Clim. Change 109, 5, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z
[10] Nazarenko, L., Schmidt, G.A., Miller, R.L. et al., Future climate change under RCP emission scenarios with GISS ModelE2, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst. 7:244–267, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014MS000403
[11] Balaras, C.A. and E.G. Dascalaki, Decarbonizing the European Building Stock: Past-Present-Future. ASHRAE International Building Decarbonization Conference, 298 p., Athens, Greece, 6-7 October, 2022. https://store.accuristech.com/standards/international-building-decarbonization-2022-conference?product_id=2560757
[12] Sandberg, N.H., Sartori, I., Heidrich, O., Dawson, R., Dascalaki, E., Dimitriou, S., Vimmr, T., Filippidou, F., Stegnar, G., Šijanec Zavrl, M. and H. Brattebø, Dynamic building stock model-ing: Application to 11 European countries to support the energy efficiency and retrofit ambitions of the EU. Energy & Buildings 132: 26-38, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/ j.enbuild.2016.05.100
[13] Shen, P., Impacts of climate change on U.S. building energy use by using downscaled hourly fu-ture weather data, Energy and Buildings 134: 61–70, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.enbuild.2016.09.028
[14] Yang, Y., Javanroodi, K. and V.M. Nik, Climate change and energy performance of European residential building stocks – A comprehensive impact assessment using climate big data from the coordinated regional climate downscaling experiment, Applied Energy 298: 117246, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117246
[15] Cartalis, C., Synodinou, A., Proedrou, M., Tsangrassoulis, A. and M. Santamouris, Modifica-tions in energy demand in urban areas as a result of climate changes: an assessment for the south-east Mediterranean region, Energy Conversion and Management 42(14): 1647-1656, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0196-8904(00)00156-4
[16] Asimakopoulos, D.A., Santamouris, M., Farrou, I. et al., Modelling the energy demand projec-tion of the building sector in Greece in the 21st century, Energy and Buildings 49:488–498, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2012.02.043
[17] Droutsa, K.G., Kontoyiannidis, S., Balaras, C.A., Argiriou, A.A., Dascalaki, E.G., Varotsos, K.V. and C. Giannakopoulos, Climate Change Scenarios and Their Implications on the Energy Performance of Hellenic Non-Residential Buildings. Sustainability, 13: 13005, 2021. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132313005
[18] Droutsa, K.G., Energy and environmental footprint of tertiary sector buildings in Greece and study of their energy renovation in combination with the impact of climate change. PhD Disserta-tion, 1438 p., Department of Physics, University of Patras, 2024. http://hdl.handle.net/10442/hedi/58260
[19] Dascalaki, E.G., Droutsa, K.G., Balaras, C.A. and S. Kontoyiannidis, Building typologies as a tool for assessing the energy performance of residential buildings—a case study for the Hellenic building stock, Energy and Buildings 43:3400-3409, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.enbuild.2011.09.002
[20] Loga, T., Stein, B. and N. Diefenbach, TABULA building typologies in 20 European countries—Making energy-related features of residential building stocks comparable, Energy and Buildings 132:4-12, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2016.06.094
[21] Dascalaki, E.G., Argiropoulou, P.A., Balaras, C.A., Droutsa, K.G. and S. Kontoyiannidis, Benchmarks for Embodied and Operational Energy Assessment of Hellenic Single-Family Hous-es, Energies 13: 4384, 2020. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13174384
[22] Droutsa, K.G., Kontoyiannidis, S., Dascalaki, E.G. and C.A. Balaras, Mapping the Energy Per-formance of Hellenic Residential Buildings from EPC (energy performance certificate) Data, Ener-gy 98: 284–295, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.12.137
[23] Dascalaki, E.G., Balaras, C.A., Kontoyiannidis, S. and K.G. Droutsa, Modeling Energy Refur-bishment Scenarios for the Hellenic Residential Building Stock Towards the 2020 & 2030 Targets, Energy and Buildings 132: 74–90, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2016.06.003
[24] Balaras, C.A., Dascalaki, E.G., Droutsa, K.G., and S. Kontoyiannidis, Empirical Assessment of Calculated and Actual Heating Energy Use in Hellenic Residential Buildings, Applied Energy 164: 115–132, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.11.027
[25] Balaras, C.A., Dascalaki, E.G., Patsioti, M., Droutsa, K.G., Kontoyiannidis, S. and T. Cholewa, Carbon and Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Electricity Consumption in European Union Build-ings, Buildings 2024, 14, 71, 2024. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings14010071
[26] Balaras, C.A., Dascalaki, E.G., Psarra, I. and T. Cholewa, Primary Energy Factors for Electrici-ty Production in Europe, Energies 16(1): 93, 2023. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16010093